for Omega being non emptyset for Sigma being SigmaField of Omega for B, A1, A2 being Event of Sigma for P being Probability of Sigma st 0< P . B & A2 = A1 ` & 0< P . A1 & 0< P . A2 holds ( (P .|. B). A1 =(((P .|. A1). B)*(P . A1))/((((P .|. A1). B)*(P . A1))+(((P .|. A2). B)*(P . A2))) & (P .|. B). A2 =(((P .|. A2). B)*(P . A2))/((((P .|. A1). B)*(P . A1))+(((P .|. A2). B)*(P . A2))) )